Home

  1. LS Estimator of ARCH
    1. Estimation of ARCH(q) Models by OLS
    2. QLS Estimation of ARCH(q) Models
    3. Estimation by Constrained OLS
      1. Properties of the Constrained OLS Estimator
      2. Computation of the Constrained OLS Estimator
    4. Bibliographical Notes
    5. Exercises

Christian Francq and Jean-Michel Zakoïan

Keywords: Asymptotic Properties of the OLS Estimator, CLT (Central Limit Theorem) for Martingale Increments, Constrained and unconstrained OLS, Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), Quasi-Least Squares (QLS).

Description: The simplest estimation method for ARCH models is that of the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS). This estimation procedure presents the advantage of being numerically simple, but has two drawbacks: (i) the OLS estimator is not efficient and is outperformed by methods based on the likelihood or on the quasilikelihood that will be presented in the next chapters; (ii) the method, in order to provide asymptotically normal estimators, requires moments of order 8 for the observed process. The extension of the OLS method, the Quasi-Least Squares (QLS) method, suppresses the first drawback and attenuates the second drawback of the OLS estimator: the QLS method provides estimators asymptotically as accurate as the quasi-maximum likelihood under the assumption that moments of order 4 exist. Note that the least-squares methods are interesting in practice because they provide initial estimators for the optimization procedure that is used in the quasi-maximum likelihood method.